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A miss, a hike and some caveats
The inflation miss should not be overplayed - rates are almost certainly near their peak.
Mar 24, 2023
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Duncan Weldon
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A miss, a hike and some caveats
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Five Budget Takeaways
What caught my attention
Mar 16, 2023
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Duncan Weldon
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Five Budget Takeaways
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December 2022
The Politics of Growth
Being in favour of economic growth is easy. It is also empty.
Dec 14, 2022
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Duncan Weldon
17
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The Politics of Growth
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How bad will it be?
The OBR and the BOE foresee very different recessions. The key difference is household savings.
Dec 8, 2022
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Duncan Weldon
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How bad will it be?
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November 2022
Five Autumn Statement Takeaways
A horrible squeeze, a disagreement on monetary policy & a Gordon Brown-type fiscal approach
Nov 17, 2022
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Duncan Weldon
20
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Five Autumn Statement Takeaways
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Learning the wrong lessons
The UK macro-policy mix looks awful. Again.
Nov 10, 2022
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Duncan Weldon
27
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Learning the wrong lessons
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October 2022
Overcompensating and Fiscal Fudges
From one extreme to another.
Oct 18, 2022
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Duncan Weldon
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Overcompensating and Fiscal Fudges
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Credibility problems
The UK macro mess
Oct 12, 2022
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Duncan Weldon
18
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Credibility problems
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September 2022
That Was The Week That Was
Reflections on a very long week
Sep 30, 2022
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Duncan Weldon
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That Was The Week That Was
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Thoughts on the fallout
Scattered post-budget reflections
Sep 27, 2022
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Duncan Weldon
21
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Thoughts on the fallout
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The not very 'mini' budget
Inflation, gilts and gambling
Sep 23, 2022
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Duncan Weldon
19
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The not very 'mini' budget
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Fiscal rules & fiscal vibes.
When it comes to fiscal credibility, vibes matter.
Sep 20, 2022
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Duncan Weldon
16
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Fiscal rules & fiscal vibes.
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